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2024-12-14 06:30:58

Vigorously boosting consumption, improving investment efficiency and expanding domestic demand will be exerted in all directions. The Central Economic Work Conference requires that consumption be vigorously boosted, investment efficiency be improved and domestic demand be expanded in all directions. Experts said that it is particularly urgent to expand domestic demand when the uncertainty of external demand increases. In 2025, macro-control should adhere to the general tone of striving for progress while maintaining stability, maintain strategic strength, strive to do our own thing well, and make overall plans to expand domestic demand, stabilize growth and promote transformation. (CSI)Boosting consumption will be the top priority of economic work. Among the nine key tasks of economic work next year, "vigorously boosting consumption, improving investment efficiency and expanding domestic demand in all directions" ranks first. Among them, "consumption" has been placed in a more important position. The Central Economic Work Conference pointed out that it is necessary to grasp key links to complete the key tasks of economic work next year, and focus on boosting domestic demand, especially consumer demand. Zhao Bo, an associate professor of economics in the National Development Research Institute of Peking University, pointed out that since the Third Plenary Session of the Eleventh Central Committee of the Communist Party of China, the proportion of China's household consumption in GDP has experienced a short-term rise and a continuous decline, and rebounded around 2009, and it is currently maintained at around 40%. Zhou Qingjie, a professor at the School of Economics of Beijing Technology and Business University, said in the article "Paying attention to the key role of household consumption in expanding domestic demand" that according to the internationally accepted national economic accounting system, household consumption is one of the "four pillars" in GDP, alongside domestic private total investment, government purchase, public investment and net export. From the international comparison, the proportion of Chinese residents' consumption in GDP is at a relatively low level. Therefore, in the process of building a new development pattern in China, the effective practice of expanding domestic demand strategy depends more on the "internal" efforts of residents' departments, so that residents can spend money, rest assured and freely. (Securities Times)The State Council, USA: When meeting with Turkish President Erdogan, Secretary of State Blinken stressed the need to ensure that the coalition against Islamic State can continue to carry out its key mission.


The Israeli army said that it destroyed more than 90% of Syria's surface-to-air missiles. On the 12th, the Israel Defense Forces issued a statement saying that it had "seriously damaged" Syria's air defense system and destroyed more than 90% of the identified surface-to-air missiles. The statement said that in recent weeks, the Israel Defense Forces have been conducting a comprehensive assessment of the situation in Syria. The Israeli Air Force has formulated a "comprehensive strike plan" aimed at destroying Syria's powerful military capabilities in the face of escalating regional tensions. In the past few days, hundreds of Israeli air force fighters and other aircraft launched coordinated strikes, which dealt a major blow to Syria's "most strategic weapon system."Market News: The European Central Bank is prepared to cut interest rates by 25 basis points at the next two meetings.Minsheng Securities: The six key signals of the economic work conference. According to the macro team research report of Minsheng Securities, the economic work conference gave "from point to face" answers to the questions raised by the Politburo meeting. Therefore, in order to grasp the main economic line next year, we think the following six signals are very critical: First, face up to external and internal problems and risks more frankly. Second, directly "winning numbers" raised the deficit, which is rarely seen in history. Third, the importance and determination to boost consumption are unprecedented. Fourth, monetary policy focuses on continuity and strength, and completes the cooperation with finance. Fifth, stabilize the property market and the stock market, and make clear that the bottom may be the most important at present. Sixth, the new idea of the supply side-rectifying the "involution".


Doing a good job of macro-policy "combination boxing" to promote the sustained economic recovery. After the the Political Bureau of the Communist Party of China (CPC) Central Committee Conference released a strong signal that the policy of steady growth will be significantly increased in 2025, the Central Economic Work Conference held on December 11-12 further refined the "task book" for macro-policy implementation. Experts said that the implementation of fiscal and monetary policies will be significantly enhanced in 2025. For example, improve the fiscal deficit ratio, continue to implement the vigorous RRR cut and interest rate cut, and so on. At the same time, under the requirements of "system integration and coordination", policies and reform and opening-up measures in finance, currency, employment and other aspects will pay more attention to coordination, lay a good "combination boxing", give better play to policy effectiveness, and strive to promote sustained economic recovery. (CSI)U.S. policy outlook is uncertain. Lagarde lamented that the EU would "ask for it" for political uncertainty. European Central Bank President Lagarde said that the monetary policy decision of policymakers on Thursday was shrouded in the turbulent political situation in Europe. Although Lagarde did not directly mention the collapse of the French and German governments in recent weeks, she pointed out that it is not conducive to the central bank's decision-making to keep the fiscal plan and election results in suspense. At present, policymakers are still paying attention to the impact of Donald Trump's return to power. "We hope that many things will become clear in the coming months," Lagarde told reporters. "If we have discussed anything in the past two days, it is the uncertainty we are facing, whether it is the political situation from some member States or the US policy."Venezuelan authorities said that 103 people arrested after the July elections were released this week.

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